A post today by Daniel at Venezuela News and Views suggests that el Presidente Chávez may not win the electoral vote on October 7th. That does not mean that he won’t cling to power, but it is encouraging. Please read the article. It’s good. Here are a few excerpts.
Daniel wrote about Chávez’ speech in Monagas.
[I]t was the state where he was the most voted in 2006, I think, but after the major PDVSA oil spill over in Maturin’s drinking water and the clumsy attempt at the regime to hide the ecological crime and force people to drink it anyway, he all but lost the state. That is, it might still be chavista enough for him to squeak a 1% victory but with the governor running against him now, and a lot of the local pols that know better, Chavez chances are dim.
Next, Daniel’s translation of part of the speech followed by his comment:
“On October 7 is not a small thing at stake. There might be people who might be unhappy about our failures of our government, that we did not fix the street, that there are power outages, that the water is gone, that I got no job, that you have not given me my house. That may be true in many cases and I assume the self criticism of the government [...] whether the road was paved is not at stake, if I have have been given a home, or if I’m angry at and fighting with regional leaders. No, what is at stake is much more than that comrade: We’re risking the life of the country. “
In not very different words, “I’ve screwed up a Hell of a lot but I just need more time so I’ll have a chance to do better.”
That is, not only Chavez recognizes that his government has not been very good, but he asks people to vote for him for the sake of it. A little bit as if Carter had asked the US to vote for him because next rescue operation in Iran would turn out differently. Chavez knows he is lost.
Perhaps the Venezuelan voters will also realize that Chávez is terrible, has lost and will vote against him.